Richard Feynman once remarked that "I believe that a scientist looking at nonscientific problems is just as dumb as the next guy." I usually try to add that, as sometimes the next guy is me, that's really remarkably dumb. However, I also try to widen it to the idea that entirely competent and sensible people looking at problems outside their own knowledge base end up looking dumb.
The overnight news that Mt. Gox has gone down is naturally leading to swathes of speculation about what this means for Bitcoin. So, despite my having been consistently wrong about the currency since 2011 (when I first confidently announced its final end), here's my addition to it all.